Ok well Math was never my strong subject either…

math1

Well we’ve seen in the comments and the forums the disbelief among that T-mobile pre-sold 1.5 million G1′s. While we would love to believe such a number as truth, reality sets in and we realize it just isn’t the case. InformationWeek thought the numbers sounded just a little to good to be true so they contacted Motley Fool and discovered exactly how they came to such a number.

I contacted Anders Bylund, the author of the original Motley Fool article that hundreds of stories are citing. I was curious as to how he got these figures and he gave me his rationale.

He cited a Cens.com article that said, “according to industry insiders, T-Mobile is planning to order a total of between 1.5 million and 2 million units of G1 with HTC in the near future, including 400,000 to 500,000 to be sold in the fourth quarter of this year.”

Then, Bylund cited T-Mobile selling out of pre-order units, and tripling the number of phones initially available. He then tripled the 500,000 number to get 1.5 million.

So there you have it, the exact method by which cell phone sales are determind. You take a number and multiply by 3 and voila, you have your sales figures! Now I don’t really mean to poke fun, this was not an attempt to the pull the wool over our eyes or deceive anyone, just a very strange way of calculating sales.

Gizmodo and Boygenius are both weighing on this as well and they are claiming that sales figures are likely in the 200,000 to 300,000 range. While they are writing that with some skepticism, they aren’t sourcing those figures either so at this point the actual sales figures are a total mystery. The important thing is judging by the sheer volume of comments we saw on the blog today, there is no shortage of pre-sale customers eagerly waiting for their G1′s. Again, we must discourage all of you from tackling the UPS man as he approaches your door.

Discuss

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  • pdrescher2318

    Aww man, well it did sound like a big number for pre-sales. But that number will come eventually.

  • Persia

    ok couple things i have to say that are off subject. by now i have concluded that “David” is the big dawg of the blog and is the creator. i found this site like 4 months ago and on like hourly basis check this site. one thing i have to say is that David has the art of blogging down and throws in the humor thing in there perfectly. the whole UPS guy tackling thing has got me cracking up for like weeks, ever since he first said it. kudos David, u doing a fab job on ur site….PERSIA IS OUT

  • Kevman420

    EAST COAST HAS SHIPPED!!! (NEW JERSEY HERE)

  • T1 Connect

    well david does do alot all day from what i see the man is always watching our comments and the forums along with moderation posting his comments and new posts along with having to sort thru info all day. so we know and dont think we dont appriciate it.

    @kevman my stuff shipped too son da boogie down bronx in da house.

  • BigBrainOnBrad

    I was also thinking that 1.5 mil was HUGE for a phone that I haven’t even seen ONE TV or print ad for yet. I’ve seen BB Storm ads, but nothing for G1. I was like, “There were able to reach 1.5 million people by word of mouth and internet alone? Amazing!”.

    Hyperbole FTW!

  • WheresMyG1

    Is it possible phones will be shipped, but can’t be tracked by reference number? I was among the first to order the LX from Tmobile and it just popped up at my door one day. I was never able to track by my phone number like Tmobile said I could. My phone number wasn’t even used as the ref. number.

    There were a lot of sidekick users that happened to. So maybe we’ll get surprised with the G1 as well???

  • Persia

    MY G1 IS NOW IN HODGKINS,IL,US. ONLY 2 HOURS AWAY BY PLANE. F***ERS JUST FLY IT TO ME NOWWWWWWWWW…… UMMM PLEASE?

  • Miles

    My g1 is getting delivered to day!!!! (one of the perks of working for UPS)

  • Happy G1 Owner

    I will have mine within the next 8 hours, I’m just waiting on the UPS truck. I love getting first access!!!!! ;-)

  • So Real

    Who cares. I buy my phone 4 what it can do not popularity

  • Madison

    MINES SHIPPPPPPPPPPPPEDDDDDDDDDDDD.
    FTWFTWFTWFTWFTWFTWndksajfklsajdlkfdsa

    this is real right?
    [=

    first i didnt put the hyphens in my number
    & was pissed. did it again, & fjsakljdfs.

  • im using it now

    I’m send this message from my G1!!! Feels good to have it!

  • misscrys

    tmobile has actually sold 80000 of these during presale so far not icludeing employee handset that’s actually 3 times what they projected so far so not to shabby

  • Mundo

    @madison
    I.m So Jealous!

    After Changing My Mind And After Checking Out The BB Flip Pearl I Realized I Was On Crack For Prefering It Over The G1 so Now I I’m Waiting For It To Launch!

  • mundo

    I KNOW THIS IS OFF TOPIC BUT I SAW IN THE UPCOMING FONES SECTION THAT ONE OF THE HTC DEVICES FOR NEXT YEAR IS THE WING 2

    WHOA WHOA WHOA MORE INFO PLEASEEEEEEE

    IM HOPING IT LOOOKS LIKE THE HTC PRO OR A TOUCH HD WITH A KEYBOARD (HA BASICALLY THE HTC PRO HA)

  • T1 Connect

    what the wing 2 aaaah man i dont know what to do about the second line now

  • Madison

    how is everyone seeing its in illinois & more information.
    i made an account, but it still doesnt show THAT much,
    where where where [=

  • timmyjoe42

    I love the photo.

  • tmotech

    I got my g1 a few days ago but I still can’t get over the lack of flash player. Anyone know a player that is compatible with android os?

  • WheresMyG1

    Here comes my G1! No more red letters!

    Shipped/Billed On: 10/16/2008
    Service: GROUND
    Weight: 1.50 Lbs